Why Did the Share Price Drop?
Many investors confuse a sharp price fall with a loss in value, but in the case of special dividends, the drop is expected.
When a company pays out dividends, the share price typically falls by the same amount on the ex-dividend date. This is because cash is leaving the company and going into investors’ accounts.
📌 For example:
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If a stock trades at AUD $2.00 and pays a 20-cent dividend, the price usually drops to AUD $1.80.
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Investors, however, still hold AUD $1.80 worth of stock plus 20 cents in cash, meaning the total value remains unchanged.
Thus, the 34% fall in Nine Entertainment’s share price reflects the payout of the special dividend, not a fundamental destruction of shareholder value.
Strong Revenue Growth from Stan and Digital Platforms
For FY25, Nine reported group revenue of AUD $2.68 billion, up 2% year-on-year, with strong momentum in digital businesses:
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Stan grew revenues by 10%, fueled by sports-driven subscriptions.
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Digital publishing revenues increased by 6%, supported by subscriptions and ad tech.
Together, Stan and digital segments now contribute nearly half of Nine’s group revenue, highlighting the company’s successful pivot toward digital-first growth.
For FY25, Nine reported group revenue of AUD $2.68 billion, up 2% year-on-year, with strong momentum in digital businesses:
-
Stan grew revenues by 10%, fueled by sports-driven subscriptions.
-
Digital publishing revenues increased by 6%, supported by subscriptions and ad tech.
Together, Stan and digital segments now contribute nearly half of Nine’s group revenue, highlighting the company’s successful pivot toward digital-first growth.
Profitability Trends – TV Weakness vs. Digital Strength
Despite revenue gains, profitability softened:
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EBITDA fell 6% to AUD $486 million (margin 18.2%).
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EBIT declined 9% to AUD $328 million.
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Net profit after minorities dropped 12% to AUD $166 million.
Segment insights:
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Publishing margins rose to 29% thanks to digital subscriptions.
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Stan improved margins to 12%, benefiting from subscriber growth.
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Television margins shrank to 13% as costs continued to rise.
This shows that while digital is scaling profitably, legacy TV remains under margin pressure.
Strategic Investments Driving Long-Term Growth
Nine is investing heavily in technology and digital platforms to strengthen future revenue streams:
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AUD 92m capex in FY25; FY26 spending projected at AUD 85–90m.
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Additional AUD 45–55m earmarked for AI, ad tech, and consumer platform development.
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Secured Premier League broadcast rights for Stan Sport.
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Introduced advertising on Stan, opening a new revenue channel.
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Advanced newsroom digitisation into a digital-first model.
Investor Takeaway
The 34% share price decline reflects accounting mechanics from the special dividend rather than operational weakness. In fact, Nine continues to show resilient digital revenue growth and a clear strategy to diversify beyond traditional TV.
While short-term profits dipped, Nine is investing aggressively in digital, tech, and sports rights, positioning itself for long-term growth in a competitive media landscape.